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Long Term Rates Drift
Lower
The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage
(FRM) averaged 5.53 percent, with an average 0.6
point, for the week ending June 30, 2005. Last
year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.21
percent.
"With little threat of inflation to be found,
long-term rates this week had some breathing
room and that allowed rates to drift a little
lower," said Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac vice
president and chief economist. "Short-term rates
may be another 
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 matter, since
the Federal Reserve is expected to continue
raising its target for the federal funds rate at
least a few more times this year. 
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Investors More Confident in Housing Than
Stocks

Investors who responded to a recent
UBS/Gallup survey said they continue to anticipate
home price increases and are more optimistic about
the real estate market than they are about the
stock market. 63 percent of the respondents expect
housing prices to rise in the second half of the
year, with 18 percent of those investors expecting
significant price hikes and 45 percent expecting
modest increases.
Meanwhile, 13 percent expect prices to decline,
and 23 percent expect no change in home prices
during the next six months. The Index of Investor
Optimism also shows that 38 percent of investors
consider real estate to be a buyer's market, while
25 percent say it is currently a seller's market.
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Home Building Booms
Unabated

Forget the bubble, it's full speed
ahead in the new home market. U.S. Commerce
Department figures released last month say housing
starts edged up 0.2 percent to a seasonally
adjusted rate of 2.009 million units for the
month, 1.8 percent above last year's pace.
Single-family home construction was the housing
starts leader with a 4.7 percent increase to a
pace of 1.704 million units, 3.3 percent above May
of last year. Given
the popularity of condos, the slowdown in
multi-family housing could give that sector's
pricing an extra boost. Multi-family housing
starts dropped in May on a national basis to a
seasonally adjusted rate of 305,000 units. This
was 19.3 percent below the multi-family market’s
strong April showing. | |
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Second
Home Market Shines

The real estate industry and its pundits
were stunned to learn, that nearly one in three homes
sold in the United States in 2004 was a second home or
investment, according to the National Association of
Realtors. Here are some reasons the trend will continue.
- In a recent survey of the wealthiest 10 percent of
Americans, 8 percent reported plans to acquire a
vacation home in the next year, up from less than 6
percent a year ago.
- While 64 percent of the affluent second-home buyers
are 55+, younger groups and the middle class are joining
them.
- "Second" home is a bit of a misnomer, as more and
more affluent buyers have multiple homes.
- An increasing number are buying a "second" home that
is more expensive than their primary residence. The
second home is often the "dream" home.
Reasons for buying
second homes have multiplied beyond the vacation
retreat. Fueling second-home sales are:
- The use of vacation homes for family getaway time
and to attract 20-something children, extended family
and grandchildren visit.
- Baby boomers who are anticipating retirement, buy a
vacation home now to make sure they like it and to lock
in prices before they go higher.
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